• Packers Would Be Deadly with Home Field Advantage

    Added - Dec. 5, 2014 - Comments


    This Monday night, the Green Bay Packers will play host to the Atlanta Falcons at Lambeau Field, and as NFL bettors know, the later in the season it gets, the more advantageous it will be for this Packer team that is a lot more used to the elements than their opponents. And in this particular instance, the Falcons play at least half of their games indoors. That's the short-term view of things. Let's take a look at what might play out in the post-season.

    Currently the Packers have a 9-3 record (6-5-1 against the football pointspread), and that is good for one-game lead over the Detroit Lions in the NFC North. Fortunately for Green Bay, the Arizona Cardinals have lost two games in a row, so they are tied with the Cardinals and Philadelphia Eagles for the best record in the NFC. But, after slamming the Eagles by a 53-20 count three weeks ago, the Packers would win that tiebreaker, so unless a team like Seattle or Detroit caught them, there may be a pretty good chance that the road to the Super Bowl could be through Lambeau.

    If that's the case, you will see those NFL odds drop dramatically on Green Bay to go all the way, because this team has been utterly dominant on the home field. They have averaged 41 points per game at home; they scored better than 50 points in back-to-back games against Chicago and Philadelphia, which was unheard of. And Aaron Rodgers, who already has one MVP award on his mantle, and could be headed for another one, as has an amazing string going at home where he has thrown 31 touchdown passes since his last interception there. It doesn't matter what kind of turnover he has in his receiver corps, he transforms these guys into stars, and that is a rare quality. Both Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb have ten touchdowns, and they have combined for over 2000 yards in receptions. Rogers averages a whopping 8.8 yards per attempt, which is higher than anybody. And in the history of the NFL, no quarterback has thrown fewer interceptions per 100 attempts than Aaron Rodgers.

    It's obvious that no one really wants to run into this Green Bay team at Lambeau Field during the playoffs. And even though they are laying quite a number on Monday night (they are 12.5-point favorites), one must proceed with caution when even considering a wager against them at home, as they have covered five of their six games on the "frozen tundra."